Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000088 0.000097 0.000107 0.000119 0.000132 0.000145 0.000161
2026-02-08 0.000073 0.000086 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000161 0.000190
2026-02-15 0.000063 0.000077 0.000094 0.000116 0.000144 0.000176 0.000219
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000071 0.000090 0.000116 0.000150 0.000193 0.000251
2026-03-01 0.000049 0.000065 0.000086 0.000115 0.000155 0.000206 0.000280
2026-03-08 0.000044 0.000061 0.000084 0.000116 0.000162 0.000224 0.000316
2026-03-15 0.000040 0.000057 0.000081 0.000116 0.000167 0.000240 0.000350
2026-03-22 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078 0.000115 0.000171 0.000253 0.000382
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000052 0.000077 0.000117 0.000179 0.000273 0.000425
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000184 0.000288 0.000462
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000047 0.000073 0.000117 0.000188 0.000302 0.000498
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000192 0.000315 0.000535
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000116 0.000197 0.000332 0.000578
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000199 0.000343 0.000614
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000038 0.000065 0.000114 0.000202 0.000357 0.000656
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000114 0.000207 0.000375 0.000705
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000035 0.000061 0.000113 0.000209 0.000387 0.000746
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000114 0.000216 0.000408 0.000806
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000114 0.000221 0.000426 0.000861
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000223 0.000440 0.000909
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000232 0.000466 0.000984
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000115 0.000236 0.000484 0.001045
2026-07-05 0.000014 0.000028 0.000056 0.000114 0.000239 0.000500 0.001102